The Researcher Muhsen AlMustafa at the Omran Center for Studies considers that Turkey’s military expansion in Syria is no longer just speculation but concrete steps under implementation. Ankara seeks to strengthen its presence through the expansion of military bases, the increased presence of Turkish officers in training centers, and new armament programs for the new Syrian army. However, the success of this expansion depends on the extent to which regional and international powers accept this role, on reaching understandings with Russia and the United States, and on the potential challenges within Syria.

On the other hand, AlMustafa explains that Israel is concerned about any Turkish military move that could impose air protection over Syrian skies, which may restrict its freedom of military operations. Moreover, the expansion of Turkish influence could compel Tel Aviv to recalculate its strategic considerations, especially if Turkish-Russian coordination emerges to enforce new equations on the ground. Turkey’s role is not limited to the security dimension but also extends to consolidating its regional influence in a model based on protection and state-building, making it a potential alternative to Iran in Syria—reflecting Tehran’s final decline in Damascus.